OBASANJO THE FINAL IMPLOSION

“Gugurumoring” like my favorite OnAir personality, Tosin Bucknor will say. Hope you all had a wonderful nightrest. Ohh yeah, I did have a peaceful nightrest too eventhough yours sincerely was busy putting two and two together to make today’s edition of THURSDAY POLITICS an explosive one and believe me when i tell you its one of a kind. As it is, credit for today’s writeup goes to TIMI BOYINDE, an astute political analyst and an orator par excellence. A dear colleague I must say, and with lots of politics in his brain. Certainly not a god, but he sure is privy to some internal workings of most political parties in the country which tentatively makes his opinnion something not worth discarding. Sit back and relax as you read his text on the above title in his own original words.

GETTING STARTED
My Good friend, Osadogan Oluwatosin (ScentMarlc) has invited me to write for his blog on Thursdays. The invitation is to present an unbiased, a non-partisan and a balanced political opinion on Thursdays. As a colleague in LAUTECH and a fellow Graduate Member of the Nigerian Society of Engineers (NSE), Marlc and yours truly share many things in Common. We both have the Ekiti Blood flowing in our veins. Marlc is from an Ekiti town where my maternal great grandfather did so many years before he found a loyal “little lady” and married the woman who was to become my Mother’s Grandmother. Again, we both served in the Central Executive Committee for CSE Class 13 (Final Year). We have had to agree and disagree on many issues in the past. One issue that comes to mind was when I had to write two long essays to accuse the Departmental Exco of 2011/2012 Academic session which Marlc Served as its General Secretary of Non-Performance and Negligence. We have come a long way since 2007 when we met in LAUTECH and I am sure the flame of friendship will keep burning in us. I hope the platform will keep running and I hope that with time,
we will have many readers on the Thursday Column.

President Olusegun seems to be the biggest news on every
Platform now. He is the lead story on every Newspaper in this
region of Africa. Nigeria is a funny country and when you think you have had the last, someone will wake up and thrill you. It was Dr. Ayodele of the University of Ibadan who wrote in the early days of Olusegun Obasanjo’s Military Regime in 1976 that Our Leaders are the greatest comedians of all time. He wrote about how he had a good laugh watching Obasanjo on telly with his kids when Obasanjo was launching the Operation Feed the Nation and he had to invite all available news media to cover the event. Obasanjo was in Military Khaki and he held a hoe in his right hand and stood in front of Dodan Military Barrack and started cultivating a concrete land. The man asked “isn’t that a comedy skit”? How do you explain that? Why can’t we launch an Agricultural Programme elsewhere but in a Military Barrack with Gun wielding soldiers?
You can never beat Obasanjo in his game- sometimes you think he is acting to a comedy script. This is a man who after ruling for 8 years and at the age of 70, re-enrolled in the University and was caught on Camera arranging his books in a bag. The “Ebora Owu” (Owu Demon) was ascribed to him when he was the President because of some characters beyond ordinary .The famous “I dey Kampe” and “I dey laugh ooo” statements remain relevant and are still used words since the last decade. He is man with many names; Baba Ota, Bba Iyabo, Ebora Owu et all.

With OBJ’s latest move, is he dramatizing or he is up to something? Welcome to ThursdayPolitics with Gifted. We promise to have you covered.

Obasanjo: PDP’s Final Implosion?
A prince is also respected when he is either a true friend or a
downright enemy, that to say, when, without any reservation, he declares himself in favour of one party against the other; which course will always be more advantageous than standing neutral; because if two of your powerful neighbours come to blows, they are of such a character that, if one of them conquers, you have either to fear him or not —- Niccolo Machiaveli (The Prince). What I watched on Channels TV News at 10 on Monday, February 16, 2015 was not different from a Bovi/Basket Mouth Skit. I saw two men dressed in the Yoruba Traditional attire and a large crowd. One of them held a Card and laughed as he tore the card into pieces. Obasanjo handed over his PDP membership card to his ward chairman and he stood beside the man to watch him tear the Card into pieces. Bami ya si welewele (tear it into pieces) baba said. O! Baba Otta is stealing the show again – showing the young, dull and uninspiring Politicians the modest way to dump their parties. Instead of addressing a Press Conference with seriousness and brashness or waiting for your hands to be raised up in Public, you can do it in a unique way. That’s what Obasanjo
has succeeded to the extent of tearing the membership card of the party that he once led” ….. “It is our considered opinion that no matter the provocation, a statesmanly(sic) disposition from a person of Chief Olusegun Obasanjo’s status could have encouraged our citizens and progress stability in the system”

Though it was predictable that OBJ will dump PDP but no one was expecting it at this time. Few weeks back, when he was asked about the upcoming election, he said he would only talk when the election is over. He has never been kind in criticizing the government of the day but if he has been objective enough is another talk for another day.

Why is a former president criticizing a sitting president publicly?
When asked why he has avoided criticizing President Barack
Obama publicly, Former US President and Obama’s predecessor, George W. Bush Jr said “I don’t think it is good for a former president undermine a current president: I think it’s bad for the presidency for that matter” Obsanjo’s criticisms, resignation from PDP and endorsement of Buhari can be seen in three perspectives. One, he is exercising his fundamental human right as a Nigerian and moreso an experienced former leader to show his grievances about some policies of the government of the day and her ineffectiveness. Two, he is more concerned about what effect of a possibly failure
of the government will have on him and Nigerians. Three, as a
politician, he felt he is becoming irrelevant, and his advices are
being ignored and he needed to remain in the game. Bishop
Desmond Tutu, a respected South African Clergy and one of
Africa’s Fine Voices once said “if you are neutral in situations of
injustice, you have chosen the side of the oppressor. If an
Elephant has its foot on the tail of a mouse and you say that you are neutral, the mouse will not appreciate your neutrality”
Whether he has the moral right to criticize President Goodluck
Jonathan is a matter in public court. It is an open secret that the government of the day has failed in all ramifications but the failure
didn’t start four or six years ago. President Olusegun Obasanjo ruled Nigeria for 8 years between 1999 and 2007, a period described by many as a failed aspect of Nigeria’s Democracy.

During Obasanjo’s tenure, politicians who are loyal to the President enjoy some immunity. The establishment of EFCC to wage war against Corruption could not stop corruption but served as a tool to witch-hunt perceived Government Enemies. Corruption was large under OBJ only for the record to be surpassed by the present administration. Under this administration, EFCC has “transformed” from being a witch-hunting establishment to a “Toothless Bulldog”. The current administration is supervising the most corrupt since the creation of Nigeria. Insecurity is another menace government has not curbed. In his letter, President Olusegun Obasanjo wrote about Insecurity and some other issues. This administration has not been able to curb the activities of the dangerous Boko Haram sect; instead, Nigerians are being
fed with loads of Promises. President Olusegun Obasanjo is guilty of some of the things he accused Jonathan of
doing; he is one of the architects of any problem that confronts this administration. He, as a statesman shouldn’t have gone to the extent of doing all those public stunts but he is not different from any Nigerian who can do that. If you can condemn it, some people can see as a welcome development.

While accepting the fact that this administration has performed below average, Nigerians should not necessarily call Obasanjo a saint and a Patriot by publicly rebuking the Ruling Party and the current Government. Whether Obasanjo is leaving PDP to be apolitical is a matter of time.
Obasanjo’s latest decision no doubt is the biggest blow PDP has suffered since 1999. A man invited to lead the party became the party’s biggest asset and now the man has left them. PDP has a tradition of being ravaged with Crisis anytime the general election is approaches and also a tradition of resolving. the elections emphatically. From 1999 till date, PDP has produced 8 National Chairmen. At the peak of each crisis, the National Chairman will resign or be sacked for “National Reconciliation”. The party has always survived any crisis but the current one is the longest they have had and this is the first time they will lose so many key members, financiers, chieftains and leaders to the Opposition.

The current implosion may just be the last that will finally take
PDP down. In less than 6 weeks to general elections, the party is not sure whether some governors will work for her success. It has been speculated in several news media that the fate of Five PDP governors are unknown and with Obasanjo’s latest act, tension will heighten in the party. PDP has lost the House of Representatives Leadership and Majority to the Major Opposition, APC. On Tuesday, February 17, 2015, six members of the House of Representatives dumped PDP for three Opposition Parties. In the South East, The Party has lost the control of Ebonyi State to Labour Party, the situation in Anambra is not rosy, the dust raised from the governorship primaries in Enugu State has not been resolved, Countless number of Members have been lost in Imo state over the choice of the House of Reps Deputy Speaker, Emeka ihedioha as the Gubernatorial Candidate and in Abia state, the APGA Candidate, Alex Otti seems to be winning more PDP
members to his side. The South East Chapter of PDP is not as
coordinated as they used to be. From the south, to the west, to
North, East and to Central, the story is the same
President Goodluck Joanathan and the leaders of PDP have
moved round the country to campaign for the party and
sometimes they have been met with hostile supporters and not- too-encouraging crowd especially in the Northern Part of the Country. While the party is still strong in the South South Geo- Political Zone, same cannot be said of the North, South West and some other parts of the country.
If government fails to fight insurgency and insecurity, the crises ravaging most of the PDP state, Defection of major leaders, the fading of support in some parts of the country, the general belief of the electorates that the incumbent does not deserve re-election and some other factors, PDP may be heading towards the Implosion that will finally end her sojourn on Nigeria’s Political Scene. Six weeks is a long time in Nigerian Politics. Will PDP Survive this? Only time will tell.

WALKING AWAY : American R&B singer, Craig David in the year
2000 released a track from his Album (Born to do it) which he
titled “Walking Away”. In 2008, the track was re-recorded for
David’s Greatest Hits Compilation released in November 2008.
The track is one of the songs I have come to love and there is a
verse that perfectly describes the issue being discussed.
“Sometimes some people get me wrong
When it’s something I’ve said or done
Sometimes you feel there is no fun
That’s why you turn and run
But now I realize
Some people don’t wanna compromise
Well, I saw them with my own eyes spreading those lies
And well I don’t wanna live a lie, too many sleepless nights
Not mentioning the fights”
———
——–
I’m walking away from the troubles in my life
I’m walking away oh to find a better day
I’m walking away from the troubles in my life
I’m walking away oh to find a better day
I’m walking away

AND THE LAST LINES…..:
Perish the Thought: Whoever is planning to foist Interim
National Government on Nigeria should perish the thought. The transition of the IBB military Regime to an Interim National Government in 1993 remains one of the most troubled periods in the annals of Nigeria History. There have been allegations and counter allegations between the Ruling Party, Opposition and the Presidency about a plan to set up an Interim Government if the upcoming elections do not favour some people. I commend the President of the Nigerian Senate for taking a bold step to condemn any call for that. It was a disgraceful sight on Television watching how the NLC election went. It’s simply unimaginable. If the election to select the head of the Labour Union can turn out to be like that, then the
labour leaders are not different from the politicians we always like to abuse. The outgoing Labour President and former labour leaders should set up a committee to look into what actually transpired in the last Election of the Nigerian Labour Congress. Disciplinary measures should be taken against anyone found guilty of disrupting the election. The labour is a respected Organisation and the voice of Civil Servants and Trade Unions in this country. Any attempt to Bring NLC’s name into the mud should be discouraged.

Dividends of Election Postponement: Politicians in their usual
style have been benefitting from the six weeks postponement of the general elections. Politicians find it easy to leave their parties any time even when the calculation does not favour their destination. On Tuesday, six members of the federal House of Representatives dumped the Ruling People’s Democratic Party for APC, Accord Party and Labour Party. If there was no postponement, will those guys defect? I won’t be surprise to see other defections within the next five weeks.

“Interesting times we sure live in.”

Credit: Boyinde Timileyin, Graduate of Computer Science and Engineering, LAUTECH, Ogbomoso. A political activist and an incisive analyst.

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9 Comments Add yours

  1. toye says:

    thumb up guys am proud of this unbiased write up

  2. scentmarlc says:

    Thanks toye. God bless you

  3. ologuntoye ayobami says:

    hmmmmmmm…finger crossed…observing and praying for my dear country. Good write up my friend, more grease 2ur elbow.

  4. scentmarlc says:

    Amen. How is the election gona look like at your side omec

    1. ologuntoye ayobami says:

      its goin 2b peaceful and lowkey, PDP at the federal level, APGA owns the state except Anambra centre which Ngige APC av a grip.

  5. scentmarlc says:

    Waoooow, that’s what I call flexibility of power.

  6. I would agree totally, if not for the assertion of Jonathanian failure “in every ramification”.

    What about the 9 universities?

    What about bringing power from 2800 megawatts to 4,000??? (Over this weekend, we had another 1320MW added)

    What about the ongoing decimation of boko haram???

    This beautiful article is marred by the bias assertion.

  7. scentmarlc says:

    Thanks RW for your contribution. But am sure the writer will likely take you on as regards your stated obServations

  8. scentmarlc says:

    Thanks RW for your contribution. But am sure the writer will likely take you on as regards your stated obServations. Thank you.

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